Seorang
penganalisa tentera yang disegani menyebut bahawa kudeta di Mesir "telah
gagal" selepas hanya dua bulan Presiden Mursi digulingkan. Jeneral Safwat
El-Zayat menekan bahawa demonstrasi anti-kudeta di seluruh negara jelas
menunjukkan kerajaan kudeta tidak mampu meyakinkan rakyat Mesir akan tindakan
mereka melawan arus demokrasi negara ini.
Oleh
kerana itu, menurut El-Zayat, bermakna Jeneral Abdel Fattah Al-Sisi mempunyai
pilihan samada mengarahkan pasukannya untuk membunuh lebih ramai pembantah
sehingga mereka tidak lagi kembali ke jalanan, satu pilihan yang didakwa
dibangkang ramai pegawai tentera; atau libatkan pasukan bersenjata di kawasan
lain untuk menarik perhatian media daripada demonstrasi pro-demokrasi yang
semakin mendapat sokongan padu.
Bantahan
yang berterusan ini merupakan mimpi buruk buat Al-Sisi dan mereka yang
bersekongkol dengannya. Kaherah dan Iskandariah sahaja menyaksikan 42 perarakan
setakat ini, sementara Jumaat lalu menyaksikan perarakan di bandar-bandar yang
baru memulakan aktivisma awam, seperti Abu El-Matamir, El-Mahalla, Suez,
El-Wadi El-Jadeed dan kota-kota di Laut Merah.
Oleh
sebab itu, operasi ketenteraan di Sinai dan kawasan-kawasan lain dirangka untuk
memprovokasi pihak militan untuk bertindak balas dengan keganasan, bagi
mewajarkan tindakan keras penuh kezaliman rejim kudeta ke atas demokrasi. Hal
ini juga untuk mengalihkan perhatian tentera-tentera daripada situasi politik;
ketika mereka sibuk "menentang keganasan", politik akan menjadi
sesuatu yang kabur dan tidak menjadi keutamaan.
Tambahan
pula, Jeneral El-Zayat percaya, pihak tentera akan terpaksa mengambil tindakan
dalam masa terdekat bagi menghentikan keberantakan dalam negara. Ekonomi hampir
diambang keruntuhan dengan sedikit peluang untuk pulih, tidak kurang disebabkan
oleh kudeta dan tindakan keras mereka terhadap ribuan yang berdemonstrasi
menentangnya setiap hari. "Meskipun mereka berusaha keras untuk menutup
fakta ini," beliau menyimpulkan, "realitinya kudeta Al-Sisi telah
gagal mencapai matlamatnya."
Sumber
: Middle East Monitor
#mesirkini
#R4BIA
Coup
has failed, says military analyst
Wednesday,
18 September 2013 14:31
645
246 5 900
Safwat
ZayatGeneral Safwat El-ZayatA respected military analyst has said that the coup
in Egypt "has failed" just two months after the overthrow of elected
President Mohammed Morsi. General Safwat El-Zayat noted that anti-coup demonstrations
around the country suggest that the coup authorities have not been able to
persuade the Egyptian people of the need for the action that they took against
the democratic will of the nation.
This,
claims El-Zayat, means that General Abdel Fattah Al-Sisi has the choice of
either ordering his forces to massacre more protesters until they stay off the
streets, an option rejected by many army officers, it is alleged, or get the
armed forces involved elsewhere to distract media attention from the growing support
for pro-democracy demonstrations.
The
ongoing protests are a nightmare for Al-Sisi and his co-conspirators. Cairo and
Alexandria alone have witnessed 42 marches so far, while last Friday saw many
protests in cities new to such public activism, such as Abu El-Matamir,
El-Mahalla, Suez, El-Wadi El-Jadeed and the Red Sea towns.
The
military operations in Sinai and other areas are thus designed to provoke
militant groups to respond with violence, which will serve as a justification
for the coup regime's brutal crackdown on democracy. It will also divert
soldiers' attention from the political situation; when they are "fighting
terrorism" politics as such pales into relative insignificance.
Moreover,
believes General El-Zayat, the army will shortly be forced to take action to
stop the country falling apart. The economy is near-collapse with little hope
for recovery, not least because of the coup and its repercussions against which
thousands are demonstrating on a daily basis. "Despite its best efforts to
disguise the fact," he concluded, "the reality is that Al-Sisi's coup
has failed in its objectives."
-
See more at:
http://www.middleeastmonitor.com/news/africa/7419-coup-has-failed-says-military-analyst#sthash.jVwC2dG8.dpuf
Sumber:
https://www.facebook.com/MesirKini
http://www.middleeastmonitor.com/coup-has-failed-says-military-analyst
http://www.middleeastmonitor.com/coup-has-failed-says-military-analyst
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